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Fix and Flip Loans · 3 min read

How to Calculate ARV and Use the 70% Rule

How to calculate after-repair value (ARV) for a flip, use the 70% rule to set your maximum offer, and how lenders size loans against ARV.

By Greg ·

This guide is part of our Fix and Flip & Hard Money Loans hub.

After-repair value (ARV) is the number that makes or breaks a flip. Lenders use it to size your loan, and experienced investors use it to decide what to offer. Here is how to calculate it and how the 70% rule fits in.

What ARV means

ARV is the estimated market value of a property after your planned renovation is complete. It is based on recent sales of comparable renovated homes, not on the current as-is value.

How to estimate ARV

  1. Pull sales from the last three to six months, close to the subject property.
  2. Match on size, bed and bath count, lot, age and condition after renovation.
  3. Adjust for differences, such as an extra bathroom or a garage.
  4. Weight the closest matches most heavily and arrive at a value range.

Use sold prices, not list prices. An appraiser or agent opinion of value can confirm your estimate before you commit.

The 70% rule

The 70% rule is a quick screen for flips: your maximum purchase price should be about 70% of ARV minus repair costs.

Maximum offer = (ARV × 0.70) − repair costs

Example: a home with an ARV of $400,000 needing $60,000 of work. 70% of $400,000 is $280,000. Subtract $60,000 and your maximum offer is about $220,000. The remaining 30% covers closing costs, holding costs, financing, selling costs and profit.

How lenders use ARV

Hard money lenders usually cap the loan at a percentage of ARV, commonly around 70% to 75%, as well as a percentage of total cost. If your purchase price fits the 70% rule, the deal usually fits lender limits too. See how to qualify for a fix and flip loan for the other factors lenders weigh.

When to adjust the rule

  • In high-priced markets, 75% or more can still work because fixed costs are a smaller share of the price.
  • In slow markets or on heavy rehabs, use 65% to leave more room for surprises.
  • If you plan to hold as a rental, run rental numbers and DSCR instead. See how to calculate DSCR.

Common ARV mistakes

  • Using comps from a different school district or across a major road.
  • Assuming your renovation will match the best house on the street.
  • Ignoring how long comps sat on the market.
  • Underestimating repairs, which lowers your real margin.

Explore the full hub: Fix and Flip & Hard Money Loans. Other financing: DSCR & Long-Term Rental Loans · Commercial Real Estate Loans · Unsecured Business Loans · Trust Deed Investing.

Have a deal in hand? Send your scenario and a broker will review it within one business day. No upfront fees.

Terms, leverage and timelines vary by lender, property and borrower qualifications. This article is general information, not financial, legal or investment advice, and not a commitment to lend.

Greg

Founder of Fix and Flippers. More than 20 years arranging private real estate capital for investors, developers and business owners. Writes about lender behavior, deal structure and the math behind the closing.

About Greg and the desk · @greggwilson


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